Kevin Stenlund vs Ryan Donato

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Kevin Stenlund holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stenlund 58.3% vs Donato 45.4% (+14.5%)
H2H factor Stenlund leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone Donato 60.4%
Defensive zone Stenlund 85.4%
Neutral zone Stenlund 75.0%
Result Kevin Stenlund favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Stenlund Donato
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 6 (13 meetings)
7
6
Stenlund Donato
Last 10: Stenlund 4-6 Donato

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
5
Stenlund Donato
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
1
Stenlund Donato
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund Donato
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stenlund
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
43.5% (400)
+15.1%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
48.7% (119)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
33.3% (6)
+27.2%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +27.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Donato shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Donato
Home
58.6% (548)
50.2% (279)
Away
59.7% (506)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Stenlund
Donato
P1
60.2%
44.6%
P2
59.1%
46.6%
P3
58.3%
42.0%
OT
58.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
49.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%
59.0%
59.1%
Donato
46.0%
48.5%
44.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 30, 2025 3 16:00 Offensive Ryan Donato
Mar 30, 2025 2 17:24 Offensive Ryan Donato
Mar 30, 2025 2 03:27 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Mar 30, 2025 1 16:17 Offensive Ryan Donato
Mar 30, 2025 1 10:18 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Feb 25, 2025 3 19:23 Defensive Kevin Stenlund
Feb 25, 2025 3 18:24 Offensive Ryan Donato
Feb 25, 2025 2 18:58 Offensive Kevin Stenlund
Feb 25, 2025 2 14:28 Offensive Ryan Donato
Feb 25, 2025 1 07:12 Defensive Ryan Donato
Oct 8, 2024 3 19:38 Neutral Kevin Stenlund
Oct 8, 2024 2 08:00 Neutral Kevin Stenlund
Oct 8, 2024 1 02:19 Neutral Kevin Stenlund