Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.0% vs Crosby 55.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 89.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 81.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 59.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Stenlund
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stenlund
Crosby
Last 7: Stenlund 4-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Stenlund
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Stenlund
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (500)
53.2% (877)
+1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
63.8% (210)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (243)
64.3% (14)
-13.7%
On power play, Crosby has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Stenlund is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Stenlund shoots right. Crosby is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Crosby
Home
55.5% (346)
56.4% (578)
Away
51.7% (437)
54.3% (523)
By Period
Stenlund
Crosby
P1
54.4%
57.0%
P2
51.7%
51.4%
P3
54.8%
57.9%
OT
42.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
53.4%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |