Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.3% vs Crosby 55.5% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 88.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 83.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 57.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Stenlund
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stenlund
Crosby
Last 7: Stenlund 4-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Stenlund
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Stenlund
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
53.7% (984)
+2.4%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
64.7% (241)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
64.3% (14)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Stenlund shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Crosby
Home
57.0% (458)
56.9% (649)
Away
52.6% (511)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Stenlund
Crosby
P1
55.1%
55.8%
P2
53.3%
53.2%
P3
56.4%
58.7%
OT
42.1%
54.2%
Final 5 min
57.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |