Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 53.0%). Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Crosby 52.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 83.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 88.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 58.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Stenlund
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stenlund
Crosby
Last 6: Stenlund 2-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Stenlund
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Stenlund
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
52.5% (1,443)
+5.7%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
54.7% (369)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
55.9% (34)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Crosby is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Crosby
Home
53.6% (261)
53.0% (931)
Away
52.8% (265)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Stenlund
Crosby
P1
55.4%
50.3%
P2
51.5%
55.4%
P3
52.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |