Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Crosby 57.8% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 86.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 81.0%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 51.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Stenlund
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Stenlund
Crosby
Last 10: Stenlund 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
7
Stenlund
Crosby
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
1
Stenlund
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
2
Stenlund
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
57.8% (1,437)
-3.4%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
60.9% (381)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
50.0% (54)
-5.9%
On power play, Crosby has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Crosby is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Crosby
Home
50.7% (402)
59.2% (985)
Away
52.0% (433)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Stenlund
Crosby
P1
56.5%
57.3%
P2
52.4%
59.5%
P3
45.2%
58.5%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |