Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Crosby 56.6% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 80.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 87.1%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 55.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Stenlund
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Stenlund
Crosby
Last 10: Stenlund 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stenlund
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
0
Stenlund
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Stenlund
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
56.2% (1,451)
+2.4%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
61.4% (293)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
55.3% (38)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Crosby
Home
58.6% (548)
59.1% (939)
Away
59.7% (506)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Stenlund
Crosby
P1
60.2%
54.9%
P2
59.1%
60.8%
P3
58.3%
55.4%
OT
58.6%
53.6%
Final 5 min
58.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:00 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |