Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Johnston 44.8% (+9.9%)
Offensive zone
Johnston 71.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 71.2%
Neutral zone
Johnston 51.7%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Stenlund
Johnston
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
42.5% (318)
+15.7%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
55.6% (9)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
62.5% (8)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Stenlund is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Stenlund shoots right. Johnston is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Johnston
Home
53.6% (261)
40.5% (168)
Away
52.8% (265)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Stenlund
Johnston
P1
55.4%
46.9%
P2
51.5%
40.4%
P3
52.9%
41.9%
Final 5 min
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%