Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Johnston 50.1% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 62.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 57.2%
Neutral zone
Johnston 53.3%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Stenlund
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stenlund
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Stenlund
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
50.7% (552)
+3.7%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
61.5% (13)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
43.5% (69)
+0.6%
On power play, Johnston has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Stenlund is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Stenlund shoots right. Johnston is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Johnston
Home
50.7% (402)
50.3% (342)
Away
52.0% (433)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Stenlund
Johnston
P1
56.5%
54.4%
P2
52.4%
47.2%
P3
45.2%
49.4%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |