Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Johnston 51.0% (+7.9%)
Offensive zone
Johnston 59.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 60.9%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 50.5%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Stenlund
Johnston
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
52.6% (696)
+6.0%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
52.3% (88)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
42.4% (125)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Stenlund shoots right. Johnston is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Johnston
Home
58.6% (548)
52.8% (458)
Away
59.7% (506)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Stenlund
Johnston
P1
60.2%
48.9%
P2
59.1%
52.3%
P3
58.3%
51.4%
OT
58.6%
70.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%