Kevin Stenlund vs Wyatt Johnston
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Johnston 49.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 51.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 76.7%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 57.2%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Stenlund
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stenlund
Johnston
Last 7: Stenlund 4-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Stenlund
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
49.3% (2,189)
+6.0%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
52.6% (173)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
44.7% (237)
+5.9%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (931).
Stenlund shoots right. Johnston is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Johnston
Home
54.3% (1,848)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
Stenlund
Johnston
P1
56.4%
50.1%
P2
53.3%
48.3%
P3
52.8%
48.8%
OT
52.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |