Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Gourde 48.0% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 69.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 58.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Stenlund
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Stenlund
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Stenlund
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stenlund
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
48.0% (914)
+6.4%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
54.2% (48)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
43.9% (123)
+0.2%
On power play, Gourde has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Gourde
Home
50.7% (402)
50.2% (512)
Away
52.0% (433)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Stenlund
Gourde
P1
56.5%
50.0%
P2
52.4%
45.3%
P3
45.2%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |