Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Dach wins 31.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 35.5% vs Eller 49.5% (-16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 57.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 60.2%
Neutral zone
Dach 54.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Dach
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Dach
Eller
Last 7: Dach 3-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dach
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dach
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Dach
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
32.5% (510)
51.1% (786)
-18.6%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
45.0% (80)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
43.6% (165)
-6.1%
On even strength, Eller has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dach is 31.7% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Dach shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Dach
Eller
Home
33.5% (278)
51.2% (510)
Away
32.2% (267)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Dach
Eller
P1
35.3%
50.7%
P2
30.6%
49.0%
P3
33.7%
48.3%
OT
0.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
38.6%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
32.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2021 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |