Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Dach wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 45.1% vs Eller 55.7% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 59.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 86.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 73.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Dach
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dach
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dach
1
0
Dach
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Dach
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
1
0
Dach
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (108)
56.5% (434)
-16.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
77.8% (9)
-20.7%
On power play, Eller has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dach is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Dach shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Dach
Eller
Home
43.1% (72)
53.1% (211)
Away
37.2% (43)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Dach
Eller
P1
37.8%
55.4%
P2
41.7%
58.1%
P3
44.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |