Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dach wins 36.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 43.2% vs Eller 51.9% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 85.3%
Defensive zone
Dach 74.5%
Neutral zone
Dach 79.1%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Dach
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dach
Eller
Last 6: Dach 1-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Dach
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
1
0
Dach
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Dach
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (217)
52.8% (650)
-13.2%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
69.2% (13)
-21.6%
On power play, Eller has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dach is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Dach shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Dach
Eller
Home
37.8% (127)
52.6% (340)
Away
43.2% (111)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Dach
Eller
P1
32.9%
52.4%
P2
36.3%
54.1%
P3
52.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |