Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Dach wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Eller 50.5% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Dach 71.8%
Defensive zone
Dach 57.3%
Neutral zone
Dach 73.5%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Dach
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Dach
Eller
Last 10: Dach 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dach
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Dach
Eller
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
5
Dach
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
51.1% (10,296)
-14.6%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
52.8% (621)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
46.7% (1,751)
-10.7%
On power play, Eller has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Dach shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Dach
Eller
Home
37.0% (857)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
35.8% (689)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Dach
Eller
P1
35.3%
51.2%
P2
34.5%
50.1%
P3
40.4%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
39.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |