Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dach wins 31.7% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 35.5% vs Paul 50.4% (-17.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 78.5%
Defensive zone
Dach 68.6%
Neutral zone
Dach 80.2%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Dach
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Dach
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Dach
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
32.5% (510)
53.0% (644)
-20.5%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
37.5% (24)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
42.9% (177)
-5.4%
On even strength, Paul has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Dach is 31.7% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Dach shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Dach
Paul
Home
33.5% (278)
52.5% (516)
Away
32.2% (267)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Dach
Paul
P1
35.3%
47.6%
P2
30.6%
48.4%
P3
33.7%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
32.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Nick Paul |