Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dach wins 36.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 43.2% vs Paul 50.0% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 79.1%
Defensive zone
Dach 75.7%
Neutral zone
Dach 74.7%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Dach
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dach
Paul
Last 6: Dach 1-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Dach
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
3
Dach
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (217)
48.8% (666)
-9.2%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
53.8% (65)
-6.2%
On even strength, Paul has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Dach is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Dach shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Dach
Paul
Home
37.8% (127)
49.7% (348)
Away
43.2% (111)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Dach
Paul
P1
32.9%
51.0%
P2
36.3%
47.4%
P3
52.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |