Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Dach wins 39.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 41.9% vs Paul 53.4% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 76.2%
Defensive zone
Dach 75.4%
Neutral zone
Dach 76.5%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Dach
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Dach
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Dach
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Dach
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (213)
53.8% (753)
-15.3%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
58.9% (90)
-25.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
47.4% (78)
-7.4%
On power play, Paul has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Dach is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Dach shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Dach
Paul
Home
38.8% (147)
54.2% (450)
Away
37.5% (80)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Dach
Paul
P1
36.3%
58.2%
P2
40.0%
50.6%
P3
40.0%
52.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
27.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
38.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2022 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:57 | Neutral | Nick Paul |