Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 46.9% vs Paul 50.4% (-6.6%)
Offensive zone
Pederson 69.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 72.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 54.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Pederson
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (92)
53.0% (644)
-10.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
37.5% (24)
+29.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.9% (177)
+57.1%
On penalty kill, Pederson has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Pederson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Pederson shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Pederson
Paul
Home
45.7% (46)
52.5% (516)
Away
42.0% (50)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Pederson
Paul
P1
46.2%
47.6%
P2
36.8%
48.4%
P3
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
42.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%