Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Pederson wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 50.8% vs Paul 53.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pederson 60.3%
Defensive zone
Pederson 60.4%
Neutral zone
Pederson 62.0%
Result
Lane Pederson favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Pederson
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Pederson
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Pederson
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Pederson
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (134)
53.8% (753)
-1.6%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
58.9% (90)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
47.4% (78)
-4.5%
On power play, Paul has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Pederson is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Pederson shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Pederson
Paul
Home
59.6% (52)
54.2% (450)
Away
46.9% (98)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Pederson
Paul
P1
55.8%
58.2%
P2
44.9%
50.6%
P3
53.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
56.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 01:47 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Nick Paul |