Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 49.6% vs Paul 53.3% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
Paul 59.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 59.8%
Neutral zone
Pederson 55.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Pederson
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (27)
53.2% (327)
-5.1%
On even strength, Paul has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Pederson is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Pederson shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Pederson
Paul
Home
44.4% (9)
54.6% (183)
Away
50.0% (18)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Pederson
Paul
P1
60.0%
56.3%
P2
42.9%
54.8%
P3
40.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
20.0%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%