Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 49.0% vs Paul 52.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pederson 68.7%
Defensive zone
Pederson 59.5%
Neutral zone
Pederson 70.3%
Result
Lane Pederson favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Pederson
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Pederson
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Pederson
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Pederson
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (323)
52.5% (3,796)
-3.6%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
56.5% (480)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
46.7% (574)
-2.3%
On power play, Paul has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Pederson is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (263).
Pederson shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Pederson
Paul
Home
53.1% (145)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
45.6% (206)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Pederson
Paul
P1
49.6%
53.9%
P2
45.8%
51.0%
P3
50.9%
52.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 01:47 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Nick Paul |