Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 46.9% vs Sturm 52.5% (-9.2%)
Offensive zone
Pederson 73.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 79.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.9%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Pederson
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (92)
54.0% (480)
-11.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
28.6% (7)
+38.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (102)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Pederson has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Pederson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Pederson shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Pederson
Sturm
Home
45.7% (46)
54.0% (287)
Away
42.0% (50)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Pederson
Sturm
P1
46.2%
53.5%
P2
36.8%
51.0%
P3
50.0%
55.1%
Final 5 min
42.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%