Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 49.6% vs Sturm 53.6% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Pederson 66.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 77.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Pederson
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (27)
54.6% (271)
-6.5%
On even strength, Sturm has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Pederson is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Pederson shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Pederson
Sturm
Home
44.4% (9)
53.0% (168)
Away
50.0% (18)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Pederson
Sturm
P1
60.0%
58.2%
P2
42.9%
53.2%
P3
40.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
20.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%