Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Pederson wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 50.8% vs Sturm 55.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pederson 62.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 75.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Pederson
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Pederson
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pederson
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pederson
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (134)
56.1% (716)
-3.9%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
67.7% (31)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
51.1% (133)
-8.2%
On power play, Sturm has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Pederson is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Pederson shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Pederson
Sturm
Home
59.6% (52)
55.6% (412)
Away
46.9% (98)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Pederson
Sturm
P1
55.8%
59.6%
P2
44.9%
52.0%
P3
53.1%
55.5%
Final 5 min
56.8%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Lane Pederson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:03 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |