Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 51.9%). Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.6% vs Eller 51.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 61.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 61.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Nelson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Nelson
Eller
Last 10: Nelson 2-8 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
3
Nelson
Eller
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Nelson
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Nelson
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (902)
52.8% (769)
-2.1%
Power Play
59.8% (169)
54.7% (75)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (116)
46.8% (188)
+1.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Nelson shoots left. Eller is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eller
Home
53.6% (603)
51.3% (513)
Away
49.9% (585)
52.5% (520)
By Period
Nelson
Eller
P1
55.4%
50.3%
P2
47.2%
52.8%
P3
52.6%
51.4%
OT
51.6%
87.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
51.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 16:59 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 10:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 10:02 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |