Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 47.1% vs Eller 51.7% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 54.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 67.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Coyle
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Coyle
Eller
Last 9: Coyle 6-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
2
Coyle
Eller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Coyle
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (562)
52.8% (769)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
54.7% (75)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (68)
46.8% (188)
-4.2%
On even strength, Eller has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Coyle shoots right. Eller is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Coyle
Eller
Home
44.3% (332)
51.3% (513)
Away
48.8% (367)
52.5% (520)
By Period
Coyle
Eller
P1
47.5%
50.3%
P2
47.5%
52.8%
P3
45.7%
51.4%
OT
35.7%
87.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Lars Eller |