Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Eller 55.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 57.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 67.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Dvorak
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Dvorak
Eller
Last 6: Dvorak 5-1 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
0
Dvorak
Eller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Dvorak
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
56.5% (434)
-2.8%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
77.8% (9)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
56.5% (46)
-8.9%
On power play, Eller has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Dvorak shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Eller
Home
53.6% (461)
53.1% (211)
Away
52.9% (507)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Dvorak
Eller
P1
54.1%
55.4%
P2
52.9%
58.1%
P3
53.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.3%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |