Connor McDavid vs Lars Eller

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Lars Eller holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 47.8% vs Eller 50.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor McDavid leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone McDavid 53.7%
Defensive zone Eller 77.6%
Neutral zone Eller 66.5%
Result Lars Eller favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
McDavid Eller
Head-to-Head Record
17 - 11 (28 meetings)
17
11
McDavid Eller
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Eller

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
3
McDavid Eller
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
3
McDavid Eller
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
7
5
McDavid Eller
12 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
51.1% (10,296)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
52.8% (621)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
46.7% (1,751)
-3.3%
On even strength, Eller has a +3.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Eller shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
McDavid
Eller
Home
49.3% (4,570)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
McDavid
Eller
P1
46.5%
51.2%
P2
48.7%
50.1%
P3
48.3%
50.2%
OT
40.9%
56.7%
Final 5 min
50.1%
49.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
47.7%
Eller
50.0%
54.0%
50.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 3, 2026 3 02:59 Offensive Connor McDavid
Mar 10, 2024 2 13:08 Neutral Lars Eller
Mar 10, 2024 1 18:30 Neutral Lars Eller
Mar 3, 2024 3 11:36 Defensive Lars Eller
Mar 3, 2024 2 19:10 Neutral Lars Eller
Mar 3, 2024 2 15:26 Defensive Connor McDavid
Apr 11, 2023 3 17:29 Offensive Lars Eller
Apr 11, 2023 3 17:21 Defensive Connor McDavid
Apr 11, 2023 2 14:57 Defensive Lars Eller
Apr 11, 2023 2 06:31 Offensive Connor McDavid
Dec 5, 2022 3 08:46 Offensive Lars Eller
Dec 5, 2022 1 09:00 Defensive Connor McDavid
Nov 7, 2022 1 15:49 Neutral Connor McDavid
Mar 9, 2022 OT 00:00 Neutral Lars Eller
Mar 9, 2022 3 12:56 Defensive Connor McDavid
Feb 2, 2022 1 16:49 Offensive Connor McDavid
Feb 2, 2022 1 02:56 Offensive Connor McDavid
Oct 24, 2019 3 19:16 Neutral Connor McDavid
Oct 24, 2019 3 18:22 Neutral Connor McDavid
Oct 24, 2019 3 04:10 Defensive Connor McDavid