Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Eller 50.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 18-12 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 53.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 63.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Cozens
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
12
(30 meetings)
18
12
Cozens
Eller
Last 10: Cozens 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
12
2
Cozens
Eller
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
6
Cozens
Eller
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
4
Cozens
Eller
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
51.1% (10,296)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
52.8% (621)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
46.7% (1,751)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Cozens shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Cozens
Eller
Home
48.2% (2,677)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Cozens
Eller
P1
49.1%
51.2%
P2
47.7%
50.1%
P3
48.8%
50.2%
OT
34.3%
56.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:43 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Lars Eller |