Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Eller 51.9% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 75.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 54.5%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 66.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Rodrigues
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rodrigues
Eller
Last 6: Rodrigues 2-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
0
Rodrigues
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Rodrigues
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
52.8% (650)
-7.2%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
69.2% (13)
-29.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
45.5% (88)
+4.5%
On power play, Eller has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Eller
Home
46.5% (142)
52.6% (340)
Away
43.6% (140)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Rodrigues
Eller
P1
42.9%
52.4%
P2
50.0%
54.1%
P3
42.4%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |