Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Scheifele 50.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 81.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 74.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Eller
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Eller
Scheifele
Last 7: Eller 5-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Eller
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
49.3% (649)
+1.8%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
55.7% (183)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
50.0% (16)
-6.4%
On power play, Scheifele has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Scheifele is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Eller
Scheifele
Home
51.2% (510)
52.3% (440)
Away
47.8% (521)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Eller
Scheifele
P1
50.7%
52.3%
P2
49.0%
50.4%
P3
48.3%
51.4%
OT
56.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |