Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 34-30 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 61.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 81.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 64.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Eller
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
30
(64 meetings)
34
30
Eller
Scheifele
Last 10: Eller 6-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
12
19
Eller
Scheifele
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
19
7
Eller
Scheifele
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
4
Eller
Scheifele
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
46.3% (12,036)
+4.8%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
50.2% (2,563)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
41.6% (598)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Home / Away
Eller
Scheifele
Home
51.4% (6,118)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Eller
Scheifele
P1
51.2%
48.2%
P2
50.1%
45.6%
P3
50.2%
46.8%
OT
56.7%
42.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |