Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Scheifele 48.3% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 81.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Eller
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Eller
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Eller
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
48.1% (1,045)
+4.7%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
48.6% (181)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
44.4% (27)
+1.8%
On power play, Eller has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Eller shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Home / Away
Eller
Scheifele
Home
54.5% (448)
52.7% (630)
Away
50.2% (484)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Eller
Scheifele
P1
52.8%
50.3%
P2
50.9%
46.8%
P3
53.4%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
55.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |