Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Scheifele 49.5% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 70.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 83.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 72.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Eller
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eller
Scheifele
Last 6: Eller 4-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Scheifele
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Eller
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
48.7% (981)
+4.1%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
53.2% (250)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
43.2% (37)
+2.3%
On power play, Eller has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Eller shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Home / Away
Eller
Scheifele
Home
52.6% (340)
50.0% (672)
Away
51.8% (411)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Eller
Scheifele
P1
52.4%
51.4%
P2
54.1%
45.1%
P3
50.0%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |