Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs McCarron 53.4% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 65.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 60.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Eller
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Eller
McCarron
Last 6: Eller 2-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
3
Eller
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
57.5% (308)
-6.4%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
50.0% (2)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
32.6% (43)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Eller
McCarron
Home
51.2% (510)
48.3% (147)
Away
47.8% (521)
58.7% (206)
By Period
Eller
McCarron
P1
50.7%
53.4%
P2
49.0%
59.5%
P3
48.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Lars Eller |