Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Eller wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Suzuki 50.3% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 58.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 86.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 67.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Eller
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Eller
Suzuki
Last 10: Eller 8-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Eller
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
9
0
Eller
Suzuki
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
51.3% (904)
+5.2%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
49.8% (265)
+28.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
36.8% (57)
+19.7%
On power play, Eller has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Eller shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Eller
Suzuki
Home
53.1% (211)
50.6% (603)
Away
59.7% (278)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Eller
Suzuki
P1
55.4%
52.3%
P2
58.1%
47.5%
P3
57.1%
51.1%
Final 5 min
60.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |