Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 57.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 82.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 67.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Eller
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Eller
Suzuki
Last 10: Eller 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Eller
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
1
Eller
Suzuki
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
47.0% (1,066)
+6.8%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
49.5% (204)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
46.6% (131)
+6.0%
On power play, Eller has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Eller
Suzuki
Home
56.4% (486)
49.4% (686)
Away
51.2% (537)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Eller
Suzuki
P1
55.1%
45.6%
P2
55.3%
46.9%
P3
51.7%
49.8%
OT
27.3%
38.1%
Final 5 min
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |