Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.6%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Suzuki 51.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 77.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 74.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.9%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Eller
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Eller
Suzuki
Last 7: Eller 3-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
Eller
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Eller
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
52.4% (981)
+0.4%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
50.7% (304)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
36.4% (33)
+9.1%
On power play, Eller has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Eller shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Eller
Suzuki
Home
52.6% (340)
53.2% (645)
Away
51.8% (411)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Eller
Suzuki
P1
52.4%
48.9%
P2
54.1%
51.5%
P3
50.0%
54.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |