Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.6%). Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Suzuki 49.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 56.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 68.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Eller
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Eller
Suzuki
Last 9: Eller 4-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Eller
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
50.3% (1,075)
+0.8%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
49.3% (219)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
43.1% (116)
+0.5%
On power play, Suzuki has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Eller
Suzuki
Home
51.2% (510)
53.6% (711)
Away
47.8% (521)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Eller
Suzuki
P1
50.7%
48.5%
P2
49.0%
51.7%
P3
48.3%
49.0%
OT
56.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
45.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Lars Eller |