Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Suzuki 49.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 30-28 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 66.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Eller
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
28
(58 meetings)
30
28
Eller
Suzuki
Last 10: Eller 8-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
18
Eller
Suzuki
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
20
4
Eller
Suzuki
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
8
6
Eller
Suzuki
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
49.4% (6,327)
+1.7%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
50.7% (1,338)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
43.6% (456)
+3.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Eller
Suzuki
Home
51.4% (6,118)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Eller
Suzuki
P1
51.2%
48.8%
P2
50.1%
49.1%
P3
50.2%
50.2%
OT
56.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |