Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.0% vs Carpenter 52.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 67.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 58.8%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 65.5%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Eller
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Eller
Carpenter
Last 7: Eller 5-2 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Eller
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Carpenter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (821)
53.6% (267)
-3.7%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
28.6% (7)
+24.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (214)
50.0% (32)
-6.1%
On power play, Eller has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Eller shoots left. Carpenter is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Eller
Carpenter
Home
49.4% (559)
47.6% (145)
Away
48.5% (550)
57.1% (161)
By Period
Eller
Carpenter
P1
50.1%
51.7%
P2
46.7%
47.6%
P3
49.9%
57.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 1 | 01:50 | Neutral | Lars Eller |