Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 57.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 52.5%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 62.1%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Eller
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eller
Carpenter
Last 5: Eller 2-3 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Eller
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
48.8% (404)
+4.0%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
100.0% (1)
-32.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
43.6% (101)
+2.6%
On power play, Carpenter has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Eller shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Eller
Carpenter
Home
54.5% (448)
48.9% (274)
Away
50.2% (484)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Eller
Carpenter
P1
52.8%
51.9%
P2
50.9%
49.4%
P3
53.4%
41.8%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Lars Eller |