Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 54.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 65.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 64.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Eller
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
53.1% (113)
+0.7%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
100.0% (1)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
60.0% (10)
-7.4%
On power play, Carpenter has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Eller
Carpenter
Home
56.4% (486)
58.5% (65)
Away
51.2% (537)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Eller
Carpenter
P1
55.1%
65.8%
P2
55.3%
50.0%
P3
51.7%
47.9%
Final 5 min
51.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%