Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 72.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 51.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Eller
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Eller
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Eller
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
53.2% (299)
-2.1%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
33.3% (3)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
46.5% (86)
-2.9%
On power play, Eller has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Eller
Carpenter
Home
51.2% (510)
54.6% (207)
Away
47.8% (521)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Eller
Carpenter
P1
50.7%
52.3%
P2
49.0%
51.5%
P3
48.3%
50.8%
Final 5 min
45.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2021 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |