Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Johansen 52.4% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 63.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 77.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 60.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Eller
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Eller
Johansen
Last 6: Eller 2-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Eller
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
49.4% (1,010)
+1.7%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
62.3% (236)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
67.2% (67)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Eller
Johansen
Home
51.2% (510)
54.7% (655)
Away
47.8% (521)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Eller
Johansen
P1
50.7%
52.2%
P2
49.0%
50.7%
P3
48.3%
54.8%
OT
56.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
45.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |