Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Johansen 58.2% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 51.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 66.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Eller
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Eller
Johansen
Last 10: Eller 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
9
Eller
Johansen
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
59.8% (625)
-6.0%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
58.2% (196)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
51.9% (27)
+0.7%
On even strength, Johansen has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Eller
Johansen
Home
56.4% (486)
60.3% (436)
Away
51.2% (537)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Eller
Johansen
P1
55.1%
61.3%
P2
55.3%
60.4%
P3
51.7%
56.0%
OT
27.3%
56.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:27 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Lars Eller |