Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 53.1%). Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Johansen 52.8% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 68.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 75.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 50.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Eller
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eller
Johansen
Last 5: Eller 2-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Eller
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
51.9% (597)
+0.9%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
57.9% (133)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
54.3% (81)
-8.1%
On power play, Eller has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Eller shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Eller
Johansen
Home
54.5% (448)
55.8% (387)
Away
50.2% (484)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Eller
Johansen
P1
52.8%
50.0%
P2
50.9%
56.2%
P3
53.4%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |