Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Johansen 53.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 41-29 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 58.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 74.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 58.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Eller
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
41
(70 meetings)
29
41
Eller
Johansen
Last 10: Eller 5-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
7
24
Eller
Johansen
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
12
9
Eller
Johansen
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
10
8
Eller
Johansen
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
53.1% (11,017)
-2.0%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
56.2% (2,163)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
50.5% (978)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Eller
Johansen
Home
51.4% (6,118)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Eller
Johansen
P1
51.2%
53.2%
P2
50.1%
53.9%
P3
50.2%
52.8%
OT
56.7%
58.2%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:27 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |