Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Poehling 47.4% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 59.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 65.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 65.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Eller
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Eller
Poehling
Last 5: Eller 1-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Eller
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Eller
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
49.8% (626)
+6.7%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
58.3% (12)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
38.2% (207)
+18.3%
On power play, Eller has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Eller
Poehling
Home
53.1% (211)
47.3% (404)
Away
59.7% (278)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Eller
Poehling
P1
55.4%
53.5%
P2
58.1%
39.4%
P3
57.1%
49.1%
Final 5 min
60.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 01:36 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |